Pre-tourney Rankings
Summit League
2018-19


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
92 South Dakota St. 0.0%   23 - 8 14 - 2 23 - 8 14 - 2 +5.3      +5.8 38 -0.4 177 76.0 35 +3.2 124 +6.7 1
162 Nebraska Omaha 0.0%   20 - 11 13 - 3 20 - 11 13 - 3 -0.2      +4.1 68 -4.3 287 69.6 150 +2.3 136 +5.2 2
182 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   15 - 15 9 - 7 15 - 15 9 - 7 -1.3      +1.6 132 -2.9 255 77.7 24 -2.4 197 -2.3 4
195 North Dakota St. 100.0%   16   16 - 15 9 - 7 16 - 15 9 - 7 -2.1      +1.7 130 -3.7 270 64.2 297 -1.5 187 -2.2 3
226 South Dakota 0.0%   11 - 17 7 - 9 11 - 17 7 - 9 -3.6      -2.2 243 -1.5 211 67.6 209 -5.2 246 -5.1 6
258 North Dakota 0.0%   8 - 18 6 - 10 8 - 18 6 - 10 -5.7      -4.1 288 -1.6 217 73.3 74 -7.6 285 -6.5 7
286 Oral Roberts 0.0%   9 - 21 7 - 9 9 - 21 7 - 9 -7.0      -0.2 184 -6.8 332 67.6 212 -6.2 266 -4.6 5
293 Western Illinois 0.0%   8 - 21 4 - 12 8 - 21 4 - 12 -7.8      -4.7 292 -3.2 258 68.2 192 -9.9 314 -9.7 8
304 Denver 0.0%   7 - 22 3 - 13 7 - 22 3 - 13 -8.6      -2.7 254 -5.9 321 68.0 201 -9.7 313 -11.7 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
South Dakota St. 1.0 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 2.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 3.0 100.0
North Dakota St. 3.0 100.0
South Dakota 5.0 100.0
North Dakota 7.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 5.0 100.0
Western Illinois 8.0 100.0
Denver 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
South Dakota St. 14 - 2 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 13 - 3 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 9 - 7 100.0
North Dakota St. 9 - 7 100.0
South Dakota 7 - 9 100.0
North Dakota 6 - 10 100.0
Oral Roberts 7 - 9 100.0
Western Illinois 4 - 12 100.0
Denver 3 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
South Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0
Nebraska Omaha
Purdue Fort Wayne
North Dakota St.
South Dakota
North Dakota
Oral Roberts
Western Illinois
Denver


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.4 99.6
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
South Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 100.0% 47.5% 78.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 78.9% 0.8 21.1 78.9
2nd Round 0.8% 0.0 99.2 0.8
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0